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2024-12-13 11:54:03

Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.Intel executives: I hope to cut $1 billion from "other sales costs".Industry ETFs U.S. stocks generally fell in early trading, with regional bank ETFs currently down 1.07%, semiconductor ETFs down 0.98%, banking ETFs down 0.8%, technology ETFs down 0.37%, and Internet stock index ETFs up 0.28%.


Canada Post withdrew the dismissal of the strikers. The strike continued. On the 11th local time, the trade union representing the Canadian postal workers issued a statement late at night, saying that under the mediation of the Industrial Relations Committee, a settlement agreement had been reached with Canada Post on the dismissal of the previous strikers, and Canada Post would withdraw their dismissal. However, Canada Post said that according to the terms of the settlement agreement, the company reserves the right to make personnel adjustments if necessary in the future. On November 28th, local time, the trade union representing the postal workers in Canada said in a notice sent to its members that since the postal workers went on strike, Canada Post Company has been dismissing striking employees. Up to now, the Canada Post strike has lasted for four weeks, and there is still no sign of ending.The previous crude oil futures 2401 contract closed up 1.51% at 545.40 yuan/barrel. Shanghai Gold closed down 0.59% and Shanghai Bank closed down 1.67%.YiXixi sovereign bond yields in the euro zone rose by about 16 basis points at most. In 2024, the European Central Bank cut interest rates three times. The yield of French 10-year government bonds rose by 9.5 basis points to 2.987%, approaching the top of 3.032% on November 28th. US stocks briefly fell before the market, and reached a new low of 2.880% at 22:07 Beijing time (during the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde). The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 15.7 basis points to 3.348%, approaching the top of 3.410% on November 28th, and was on the rise all day, reaching a daily low of 3.218% at 21:56 (during Lagarde's press conference). Spain's 10-year bond yields rose by 11.6 basis points, while Greece's 10-year bond yields rose by 13.5 basis points.


The yield of 2/10-year German bonds rose by about 8 basis points at most. At the end of the European market on Thursday (December 12), the yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 7.8 basis points to 2.205%, which was in a rising state for most of the day. It was as low as 2.123% at 21:56 Beijing time (shortly after the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde began, before the US stock market closed), and then rebounded. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 7.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.204%, which was 1.915% lower than the new low of 21:43 (after the European Central Bank announced the third interest rate cut in the year, after the release of American PPI and before the start of Lagarde's press conference). The yield of 30-year German bonds rose by 6.9 basis points to 2.445%, which was on the rise all day. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.838 basis points to +18.116 basis points, and rose to +20.614 basis points at 21:43. British 10-year bond yields rose by 4.6 basis points, and two-year British bond yields rose by 2.3 basis points. The yield spread of 2/10-year British bonds rose by 2.311 basis points to +8.709 basis points.Major indexes of European stocks were mixed, with German DAX 30 index up 0.08%, French stock index down 0.06%, Italian stock index up 0.40%, British stock index up 0.03% and European STOXX 600 index down 0.19%.According to the Ifop poll, the support rate of French President Macron remains unchanged at 25%.

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